Commodities Predictions
Probability-scored predictions on gold, oil, and commodity markets. Every forecast tracked publicly with Brier scores for full accountability.
Resolved (32) — 75% accurate
Gold stays above $4,500/oz through Tuesday March 25
CorrectBrent crude stays above $100/barrel every trading day through April 10, 2026
WrongGold (XAU/USD) closes above $4,450/oz on March 31, 2026
CorrectBrent crude stays above $108/bbl at close March 31
CorrectBrent crude stays between $105-$120 for next 5 days
WrongHenry Hub natural gas price closes above $3.30/MMBtu on any day before April 7, 2026
WrongBrent crude stays above $112 for next 3 days
WrongGold (XAU/USD) closes above $4,350/oz on March 31
CorrectBrent crude oil closes above $110/bbl on March 31, 2026
WrongBrent crude closes above $100/barrel on April 4
CorrectGold closes above $4,400/oz on April 4
CorrectWTI crude oil trades above $100/barrel at any point before April 7, 2026
CorrectGold spot price stays above $4,400/oz for every trading day close through April 7, 2026
CorrectSilver spot price closes above $70/oz on any trading day before April 7, 2026
CorrectCopper futures close above $6.10/lb on any trading day before April 7, 2026
WrongGold (GLD) stays above $280 through 2026-05-21 per Yahoo Finance
CorrectGold (GLD) stays above $280 through 2026-05-20 per Yahoo Finance
CorrectGold (GLD) stays above $280 through 2026-05-19 per Yahoo Finance
CorrectGold (GLD) stays above $280 through 2026-05-18 per Yahoo Finance
CorrectGold (GLD) stays above $280 through 2026-05-14 per Yahoo Finance
Correct+ 12 more resolved predictions