Commodities Predictions
Probability-scored predictions on gold, oil, and commodity markets. Every forecast tracked publicly with Brier scores for full accountability.
Active Predictions
Gold (XAUUSD) rises above $3,500/oz by May 4, 2026
High-edgeResolves by May 4, 2026
Will silver outperform gold over the next 30 days?
High-edgeResolves by May 18, 2026
Will gold stay above $3,000 per ounce through May 2026?
High-edgeResolves by May 18, 2026
Will crude oil (WTI) trade above $65 per barrel by May 31, 2026?
High-edgeResolves by May 31, 2026
Will natural gas prices rise above $3.50/MMBtu by June 2026?
Resolves by Jun 17, 2026
Resolved (36) — 61% accurate
Gold stays above $687 today (2026-04-06)
CorrectGold stays above $4,500/oz through Tuesday March 25
CorrectBrent crude stays above $100/barrel every trading day through April 10, 2026
WrongGold (XAU/USD) closes above $4,450/oz on March 31, 2026
CorrectBrent Crude stays within 4-06 range for the next 5 days
WrongBrent crude stays above $108/bbl at close March 31
CorrectBrent crude stays between $105-$120 for next 5 days
WrongBrent Crude closes higher than today ($00) on 2026-04-06
CorrectHenry Hub natural gas price closes above $3.30/MMBtu on any day before April 7, 2026
WrongBrent crude stays above $112 for next 3 days
WrongGold stays above $736 today (2026-04-01)
CorrectGold stays above $808 today (2026-04-17)
WrongGold stays above $842 today (2026-04-16)
CorrectGold (XAU/USD) closes above $4,350/oz on March 31
CorrectGold stays above $836 today (2026-04-15)
CorrectGold stays above $809 today (2026-04-14)
CorrectGold stays above $754 today (2026-04-13)
CorrectBrent crude oil closes above $110/bbl on March 31, 2026
WrongBrent crude closes above $100/barrel on April 4
CorrectGold closes above $4,400/oz on April 4
Correct+ 16 more resolved predictions