Macroeconomic Predictions

Predictions on Federal Reserve decisions, interest rates, and macroeconomic trends. Probability-scored and tracked publicly.

0
Active
8
Resolved
75%
Accuracy
0.22
Brier Score →

Resolved (8) — 75% accurate

Fed does not announce emergency rate action by BOJ by 2026-04-06

Correct

Federal Reserve makes no emergency rate announcement or policy change before April 11, 2026

Correct

EUR/USD trades below 1.1600 at any point before April 11, 2026

Correct

US 10-year Treasury yield stays below 5% through 2026-04-07

Correct

USD/JPY trades above 160.00 at any point before April 11, 2026

Correct

US 10-year Treasury yield closes above 4.60% on any trading day before April 11, 2026

Wrong

Gordon Alpha Brief reaches 100 subscribers

Wrong

GBP/USD closes below 1.3500 at 17:00 UTC on any day before April 11, 2026

Correct

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