Prediction Tracker
Every prediction publicly tracked. Full accountability.
You'll also receive the Daily Alpha Brief — AI-curated market intelligence. Unsubscribe anytime.
Awaiting Result (1)
Resolved (32)
How to read the scores: Each prediction has a Brier score measuring calibration — lower is better (0.00 = perfect, 0.25 = random chance). When Gordon says 30% and it doesn't happen, that's good calibration, not a miss. The score rewards honest uncertainty, not just being right.
cryptoCoreWrongApr 29
❌ Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
93%
cryptoCoreWrongBrier: 0.56PoorApr 7
❌ Bitcoin 7-day price forecast: $71,200 target
75%
cryptoCoreWrongBrier: 0.55PoorApr 2
❌ Qubic (CoinGecko: qubic, QUBIC) closes above $0.0000010 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026
74%
cryptoCoreWrongBrier: 0.53PoorApr 2
❌ Ethereum (ETH) has a single calendar-day price swing exceeding 8% (high-to-low) between March 29-31, 2026 per CoinGecko
73%
cryptoCoreWrongBrier: 0.52PoorApr 3
❌ Bitcoin 3-day price forecast: $69,500 target
72%
cryptoCoreCorrectBrier: 0.08ExcellentMar 31
✅ Centrifuge (CoinGecko: centrifuge, CFG) stays above $0.125 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026
72%
cryptoCoreWrongBrier: 0.52PoorMar 31
❌ BitMart Token (CoinGecko: bitmart-token, BMX) stays above $0.345 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026
72%
cryptoCoreCorrectBrier: 0.08ExcellentMar 31
✅ Bitcoin stays above $62,000 at close March 31
71%
cryptoCoreWrongBrier: 0.50PoorMar 31
❌ Avalanche (AVAX) closes above $9.00 at 23:59 UTC March 31, 2026
71%
cryptoCoreCorrectBrier: 0.17GoodApr 16
✅ Ethereum closes higher than ,184 on 2026-04-15
59%
cryptoCoreCorrectBrier: 0.17GoodApr 16
✅ Bitcoin closes higher than 0,722 on 2026-04-15
59%
cryptoCoreCorrectBrier: 0.17GoodMar 31
✅ Polygon (POL) closes above $0.085 at 23:59 UTC March 31, 2026
59%
cryptoCoreWrongBrier: 0.31PoorMar 31
❌ Chainlink (LINK) closes below $8.00 at 23:59 UTC March 31, 2026
56%
cryptoCoreCorrectBrier: 0.20FairApr 27
✅ Bitcoin stays above $72,000 through April 27, 2026
55%
cryptoCoreCorrectBrier: 0.20FairApr 14
✅ SOL rises 5%+ within 7 days following exchange outflow signal
55%
cryptoCoreCorrectBrier: 0.20FairApr 14
✅ Bitcoin stays above $60,000 through April 10, 2026
55%
cryptoCoreWrongBrier: 0.30PoorApr 4
❌ Cardano (ADA) trades below $0.22 at any point before April 4, 2026
55%
cryptoCoreWrongBrier: 0.30PoorApr 16
❌ Ethereum spot ETF sees net positive inflows in Q2 2026
55%
cryptoCoreCorrectBrier: 0.20FairMar 29
✅ Fear & Greed Index stays below $20 for next 48 hours
55%
cryptoCoreCorrectBrier: 0.23FairMar 30
✅ Dogecoin (DOGE) above $0.084 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026
52%
cryptoCoreWrongBrier: 0.22FairApr 17
❌ DOGE trades above $0.12 by April 16, 2026
47%
cryptoCoreWrongBrier: 0.20FairMar 31
❌ Bitcoin (BTC) touches $63,000 or below at any point before 23:59 UTC March 31, 2026
45%
cryptoCoreWrongBrier: 0.20FairMar 30
❌ NKN (CoinGecko: nkn) drops below $0.014 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026
45%
cryptoCoreWrongBrier: 0.20FairMar 31
❌ Pippin (CoinGecko: pippin, PIPPIN) drops below $0.040 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026
45%
cryptoCoreWrongBrier: 0.19GoodApr 22
❌ Bitcoin rises above $82,844 within 7 days (from $80,722)
44%
cryptoCoreCorrectBrier: 0.31PoorApr 21
✅ Bitcoin rises above 6,202 by 2026-04-18
44%
cryptoCoreWrongBrier: 0.18GoodApr 18
❌ Ethereum closes lower than today ($185) on 2026-04-17
43%
cryptoCoreCorrectBrier: 0.32PoorApr 15
✅ Bitcoin closes higher than today ($3490) on 2026-04-14
43%
cryptoCoreCorrectBrier: 0.34PoorApr 25
✅ Bitcoin closes higher than today ($4902) on 2026-04-20
42%
cryptoCoreWrongBrier: 0.18GoodApr 22
❌ Bitcoin drops below $77,186 within 7 days (from $80,722)
42%
cryptoCoreCorrectBrier: 0.36PoorApr 16
✅ Bitcoin stays above $71,820 today (2026-04-15)
40%
cryptoCoreWrongBrier: 0.09ExcellentMar 28
❌ Crypto Fear & Greed Index averages above 30 this week
30%
You'll also receive the Daily Alpha Brief — AI-curated market intelligence. Unsubscribe anytime.