Prediction Tracker

How to read the scores: Each prediction has a Brier score measuring calibration — lower is better (0.00 = perfect, 0.25 = random chance). When Gordon says 30% and it doesn't happen, that's good calibration, not a miss. The score rewards honest uncertainty, not just being right.

Prediction Tracker

High-Edge (2)Measurable setup

Will Ethereum outperform Solana over the next 30 days?

Will Solana trade above $100 by June 30, 2026?

Active (7)

Will Bitcoin hold above $70,000 through May 2026?

Awaiting Result (4)

Ethereum closes above $1,700 on at least one day before May 7, 2026

Bitcoin rises above $80,000 by May 4, 2026

Ethereum rises above $2,500 by May 4, 2026

Solana rises above $100 by May 4, 2026

Resolved (64)

❌ Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

❌ SOL moves down >3% within 48h of stablecoin outflow

❌ Bitcoin 7-day price forecast: $71,200 target

✅ BTC closes above $60,000 on April 4

❌ SOL outperforms ETH (higher % return) in Q2 2026

❌ Qubic (CoinGecko: qubic, QUBIC) closes above $0.0000010 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026

❌ Ethereum (ETH) has a single calendar-day price swing exceeding 8% (high-to-low) between March 29-31, 2026 per CoinGecko

❌ BTC rises above $75,000 before April 30, 2026

❌ BTC breaks $72,000 before April 1, 2026

❌ Bitcoin 3-day price forecast: $69,500 target

✅ Bitcoin (BTC/USD) closes above $64,000 on March 31, 2026

✅ Centrifuge (CoinGecko: centrifuge, CFG) stays above $0.125 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026

❌ BitMart Token (CoinGecko: bitmart-token, BMX) stays above $0.345 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026

✅ Bitcoin stays above $62,000 at close March 31

❌ Avalanche (AVAX) closes above $9.00 at 23:59 UTC March 31, 2026

❌ SOL price moves >8% within 48h of whale transfer

✅ BTC does not drop below $62,000 in the next 7 days by April 9, 2026

❌ SOL closes above $130 by April 13 2026

❌ BTC stays above $70,000 for next 3 days

✅ Ethereum closes higher than ,184 on 2026-04-15

✅ Bitcoin closes higher than 0,722 on 2026-04-15

✅ Polygon (POL) closes above $0.085 at 23:59 UTC March 31, 2026

✅ BTC closes above $75,000 on 2026-04-30

✅ Solana (SOL) stays above $75 for every daily close (23:59 UTC) through April 4, 2026

❌ SOL outperforms BTC on percentage return basis over next 7 days by April 9, 2026

❌ Chainlink (LINK) closes below $8.00 at 23:59 UTC March 31, 2026

❌ Ethereum (ETH) closes below $1,900 at 23:59 UTC on any day before April 4, 2026

✅ ETH closes above $2,200 on 2026-04-30

✅ Bitcoin stays above $72,000 through April 27, 2026

✅ SOL rises 5%+ within 7 days following exchange outflow signal

✅ Bitcoin stays above $60,000 through April 10, 2026

✅ Bitcoin (BTC) above $64,500 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026

❌ Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $70,000 at any point before April 4, 2026

❌ Cardano (ADA) trades below $0.22 at any point before April 4, 2026

✅ BTC stays above $65,000 for next 72 hours

❌ Ethereum spot ETF sees net positive inflows in Q2 2026

✅ Fear & Greed Index stays below $20 for next 48 hours

✅ BTC stays above $67,000 for next 72 hours

✅ Ethereum (ETH) above $1,920 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026

✅ Ethereum stays above $2,100 through April 27, 2026

✅ Solana (SOL) above $78 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026

✅ XRP above $1.28 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026

❌ XRP closes above $1.50 at 23:59 UTC on any day before April 4, 2026

✅ Dogecoin (DOGE) above $0.084 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026

✅ BTC closes above $70,000 by April 9, 2026

❌ DOGE trades above $0.12 by April 16, 2026

✅ ETH closes above $2,200 by April 9, 2026

❌ Bitcoin (BTC) touches $63,000 or below at any point before 23:59 UTC March 31, 2026

❌ NKN (CoinGecko: nkn) drops below $0.014 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026

❌ Pippin (CoinGecko: pippin, PIPPIN) drops below $0.040 at 23:59 UTC March 29, 2026

✅ Ethereum rises above ,250 within 7 days (from ,184)

❌ Bitcoin rises above $82,844 within 7 days (from $80,722)

❌ Ethereum drops below ,081 by 2026-04-20

✅ Bitcoin rises above 6,202 by 2026-04-18

❌ Ethereum closes lower than today ($185) on 2026-04-17

✅ Bitcoin closes higher than today ($3490) on 2026-04-14

✅ Bitcoin closes higher than today ($4902) on 2026-04-20

❌ Ethereum drops below ,097 within 7 days (from ,184)

❌ Bitcoin drops below $77,186 within 7 days (from $80,722)

✅ Bitcoin stays above $71,820 today (2026-04-15)

❌ Ethereum loses more than 4% in the next 7 days (from 185)

❌ Bitcoin gains more than 3% in the next 7 days (from 0722)

❌ Crypto Fear & Greed Index averages above 30 this week

❌ ETH/BTC ratio stays above 0.045 through Friday